1. Aaron Rodgers, Packers
2011 stats: 343-502 (68.3 comp. %), 4643 yds, 45 TD, 6 Int, 60 Rush, 257 Yds, 3 Rush TD
2012 projections: 345-500 (69 comp. %), 4521 yds, 44 TD, 8 Int, 52 Rush, 217 Yds, 3 Rush TD
Upside: Excellent passing numbers, throws very few INTs, underrated rusher, strong arm
Downside: Very few, except for the occasional interception
2011 stats: 401-611 (65.6 comp. %), 5235 yds, 39 TD, 12 Int, 43 Rush, 109 Yds, 3 TD
2012 projections: 392-601 (65.2 comp. %), 4958 yds, 39 TD, 13 Int, 33 Rush, 142 Yds, 3 TD
Upside: Remarkably consistent, accurate, solid, safe bet
Downside: Getting older, passing numbers probably down slightly from last year
3. Drew Brees, Saints
2011 stats: 468-657 (71.2 comp. %), 5476 yds, 46 TD, 14 Int, 21 Rush, 86 Yds, 1 TD
2012 projections: 430-620 (69.4 comp. %), 4951 yds, 42 TD, 14 Int, 19 Rush, 57 Yds, 1 TD
Upside: Plays in an explosive offense, pass-happy offense, highly accurate
Downside: Lost top offensive lineman, Bountygate repercussions, won't repeat historic season last year
4. Matt Stafford, Lions
2011 stats: 421-663 (63.5 comp. %), 5038 yds, 41 TD, 16 Int, 22 Rush, 78 Yds, 0 TD
2012 projections: 395-628 (62.9 comp. %), 5009 yds, 41 TD, 17 Int, 20 Rush, 63 Yds, 1 TD
Upside: Pass-happy offense, explosive, puts up big numbers
Downside: Teams game planning for him more, throws high number of INTs, history of serious injuries
5. Cam Newton, Panthers
2011 stats: 310-517 (60 comp. %), 4051 yds, 21 TD, 17 Int, 126 Rush, 706 Yds, 14 TD
2012 projections: 305-509 (59.9 comp. %), 3994 yds, 22 TD, 17 Int, 121 Rush, 712 Yds, 9 TD
Upside: Incredibly athletic, versatile, can both throw and run, dynamic, gamebreaker
Downside: Teams game planning for him more, potential sophmore slump, high number of INTs
6. Eli Manning, Giants
2011 stats: 359-589 (61 comp. %), 4933 yds, 29 TD, 16 Int, 35 Rush, 15 Yds, 1 TD
2012 projections: 370-596 (62.1 comp. %), 4762 yds, 30 TD, 17 Int, 32 Rush, 23 Yds, 1 TD
Upside: Excellent in 4th quarters, clutch in big games, can throw for deep for a lot of yards
Downside: High number of INTs and turnovers, does not throw for as many TDs
7. Michael Vick, Eagles
2011 stats: 253-423 (59.8 comp. %), 3303 yds, 18 TD, 14 Int, 76 Rush, 589 Yds, 1 TD
2012 projection: 242-402 (60.2 comp. %), 3342 yds, 21 TD, 10 Int, 80 Rush, 632 Yds, 6 TD
Upside: Dynamic, athletic, can run and throw, gamebreaker
Downside: Probably will miss 2-4 games, history of injuries, high risk-high reward style of play
8. Philip Rivers, Chargers
2011 stats: 366-582 (62.9 comp. %), 4624 yds, 27 TD, 20 Int, 26 Rush, 36 Yds, 1 TD
2012 projection: 360-567 (63.5 comp. %), 4707 yds, 28 TD, 15 Int, 26 Rush, 33 Yds, 1 TD
Upside: Pass-friendly offense, will improve a bit after last year's disaster
Downside: Chargers will emphasize running more, lost top receiver, prone to throwing INTs
9. Tony Romo, Cowboys
2011 stats: 346-522 (66.3 comp. %), 4184 yds, 31 TD, 10 Int, 22 Rush, 46 Yds, 1 TD
2012 projection: 330-515 (64.1 comp. %), 4081 yds, 30 TD, 11 Int, 20 Rush, 53 Yds, 1 TD
Upside: Solid completion percentage, capable of 4000 yards, produces fantasy points
Downside: Has struggled in big games with a lot on the line, has had injuries in the past
10. Peyton Manning, Broncos
2011 stats: Missed season due to injury
2012 projection: 370-571 (64.8 completon %), 4509 yds, 32 TD, 16 Int, 19 Rush, 15 Yds, 0 TD
Upside: Chip on his shoulder, motivated, fairly consistent
Downside: New offense, off major surgery, one big hit can end it
Sleeper: Jay Cutler, Bears
2011 stats: 182-314 (58 completion %), 2319 yds, 13 TD, 7 Int, 18 Rush, 55 Yds, 1 TD
2012 projection: 259-435 (59.5 completion %), 3257 yds, 21 TD, 11 Int, 25 Int, 102 Yds, 1 TD
Upside: Reunited with Brandon Marshall, Mike Martz is gone, strong arm
Downside: Major holes on O-line, high risk of injury due to protection issues
Sleeper: Matt Schaub, Texans
2011 stats: 178-292 (61 completion %), 2479 yds, 15 TD, 6 Int, 15 Rush, 9 Yds, 2 TD
2012 projection: 258-409 (63.1 completion %), 3350 yds, 24 TD, 8 Int, 18 Rush, 21 Yds, 2 TD
Upside: Fully healthy (for now), good protection, solid receivers
Downside: Strong running game (takes away from him), unsure about how he'll hold up
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