1. Calvin Johnson, Lions
2011 stats: 158 targets, 96 rec, 1681 yds, 17.5 avg, 16 TD
2012 projections: 160 targets, 94 rec, 1568 yds, 16.7 avg, 13 TD
Upside: Makes big plays, extremely tough to cover one on one, huge potential
Downside: Nagging hamstring/ankle/Achilles injuries, double teams
2. Larry Fitzgerald, Cardinals
2011 stats: 153 targets, 80 rec, 1411 yds, 17.6 avg, 8 TD
2012 projections: 159 targets, 86 rec, 1377 yds, 16.0 avg, 9 TD
Upside: Michael Floyd shifts some defensive pressure, good yard average, high yardage
Downside: Questions/inconsistencies at QB affecting numbers, numbers down from Warner years
3. Andre Johnson, Texans
2011 stats: 51 targets, 33 rec, 492 yds, 14.9 avg, 2 TD
2012 projections: 128 targets, 83 rec, 1251 yds, 15.1 avg, 8 TD
Upside: Still elite (for now), still capable of burning defenders, can be effective
Downside: Coming off major hamstring surgery, injury risk, getting older
4. Roddy White, Falcons
2011 stats: 181 targets, 100 rec, 1296 yds, 13.0 avg, 8 TD
2012 projections: 178 targets, 101 rec, 1201 yds, 11.9 avg, 8 TD
Upside: Gets the ball (a lot), stays healthy, fantasy points
Downside: Julio Jones can take away targets, production could drop as a result
5. Mike Wallace, Steelers
2011 stats: 113 targets, 72 rec, 1193 yds, 16.6 avg, 8 TD
2012 projections: 125 targets. 74 rec, 1214 yds, 16.4 avg, 9 TD
Upside: More passing with Todd Haley, emerging as elite, less secondary pressure
Downside: Depends on Roethlisberger's health, production drops if Roethlisberger is hurt
6. Greg Jennings, Packers
2011 stats: 101 targets, 67 rec, 949 yds, 14.2 avg, 9 TD
2012 projections: 116 targets, 74 rec, 1147 yds, 15.5 avg, 9 TD
Upside: Defenses accounting more for Jordy Nelson, great route runner, Rodgers' main target
Downside: Coming off knee injury, risk still remains
7. Wes Welker, Patriots
2011 stats: 172 targets, 122 rec, 1569 yds, 12.9 avg, 9 TD
2012 projections: 160 targets, 117 rec, 1406 yds, 12.0 avg, 7 TD
Upside: Consistent, among league leaders in targets/receptions, best slot receiver
Downside: Gronkowski, Lloyd, Hernandez, but should still get targets regardless
8. Victor Cruz, Giants
2011 stats: 131 targets, 82 rec, 1536 yds, 18.7 avg, 9 TD
2012 projections: 122 targets, 75 rec, 1221 yds, 16.2 avg, 8 TD
Upside: Big play capability, will play in more two WR sets (more chances), even bigger role
Downside: Can he repeat last year's success, defenses accounting for him more
9. A.J. Green, Bengals
2011 stats: 116 targets, 65 rec, 1057 yds, 16.3 avg, 7 TD
2012 projections: 135 targets, 77 rec, 1234 yds, 16.0 avg, 7 TD
Upside: Young, big play potential, continuing to improve as a receiver
Downside: Andy Dalton's throwing power, sophomore slump
10. Hakeem Nicks, Giants
2011 stats: 133 targets, 76 rec, 1192 yds, 15.7 avg, 7 TD
2012 projections: 128 targets, 73 rec, 1117 yds, 15.3 avg, 7 TD
Upside: More targets without Manningham, defenses focused on Cruz, picks up yards
Downside: Broken foot, may not be ready for Week 1, injury could linger
Also Worth Considering
Brandon Marshall, Bears
2011 stats: 145 targets, 81 rec, 1214 yds, 15.0 avg, 6 TD
2012 stats: 138 targets, 81 rec, 1159 yds, 14.3 avg, 6 TD
Upside: Back with his homie Jay Cutler, can put up some nice numbers, ability to adjust to new O
Downside: Mental issues, can be erratic at times
Julio Jones, Falcons
2011 stats: 96 targets, 54 rec, 959 yds, 17.8 avg, 8 TD
2012 stats: 131 targets, 76 rec, 1188 yds, 15.6 avg, 7 TD
Upside: Freakish athletic ability, explosive, big play potential
Downside: Hamstring injuries, injury risk, lingering
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